Interview with Kunal Shah

CEO and founder of CRED

by Lenny's Podcast2024-03-24

Kunal Shah

Kunal Shah, a name synonymous with pioneering entrepreneurship in India, recently joined Lenny Rachitsky on Lenny's Podcast for a conversation that transcended typical startup discourse. Far from a mere business interview, this deep dive offered a masterclass in product philosophy, cultural nuance, and the very essence of human behavior, all through the unique lens of a philosophy major turned tech titan.

The Delta 4 Framework & A Founder's Philosophy

Kunal Shah isn't your average tech founder. With a background steeped in philosophy, his approach to product and life is characterized by deep thought and a relentless pursuit of underlying principles. This intellectual curiosity led him to develop the "Delta 4 Framework," a powerful tool for assessing true product innovation that he shared with Lenny. Unlike vague notions of being "10x better," Kunal's framework offers a measurable way to understand disruption.

He explains that if a new product or service offers an "efficiency Delta" of four or more points compared to the existing solution, three remarkable things happen: it becomes irreversible, users develop a high tolerance for its occasional failures, and most importantly, it possesses a "unique brag-worthy proposition" (UBP). Think about the leap from hailing a traditional cab to using Uber – that’s a Delta 4 experience. As Kunal puts it, "Every time humans unlock a Delta 4 product or service, they cannot stop talking or sharing about it." This inherent virality means such products often require low, or even zero, customer acquisition spend. Conversely, if the efficiency delta is less than four, the product is reversible, users have zero tolerance for failure, and it won't generate that coveted word-of-mouth. This framework, now even taught to analysts at firms like Sequoia, is a testament to Kunal's ability to distil complex human behavior into actionable insights.

Key Insights:

  • Measurable Disruption: The Delta 4 Framework offers a quantifiable way to assess if a product is truly revolutionary by comparing its efficiency score to existing alternatives.
  • Irreversible Adoption: Products that achieve a Delta 4 become indispensable, creating high user tolerance for minor glitches and fostering organic advocacy.
  • Low CAC Potential: The inherent "unique brag-worthy proposition" of Delta 4 products means users become natural evangelists, reducing the need for traditional marketing.

The Indian Paradox: Why Success Looks Different There

The conversation took a fascinating turn into the nuances of Indian culture, first by exploring the extraordinary success of Indian-born CEOs in the US tech landscape – leading giants like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Adobe. Kunal attributes this to a potent mix: the innate hunger and "chip on the shoulder" of immigrants, a societal appreciation for math and logic, and a deep-seated respect for "Dharma." He explains that these leaders excel because they "follow the Dharma of the founders quite well," sustaining and growing the original vision rather than stamping their own identity onto it. This is a subtle yet profound difference, rooted in Indian mythology where "Rama is high on values and high on obedience and Krishna is high on values and low on obedience, but they both are high on values." The best leaders, Kunal suggests, deftly balance these archetypes.

However, building in India presents a unique set of challenges and opportunities that global companies often misinterpret. While it’s easy to accumulate Daily Active Users (DAUs) due to cheap data and high smartphone penetration, converting those into high Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) is notoriously difficult. With an average per capita income of around $2,500 per year, India becomes a "MAU farm" for many global giants rather than a high-revenue market. This is further complicated by a cultural distinction: the "value of time is not the same." As Kunal points out, "no Indian has ever been paid an hourly salary in their entire life," meaning the concept of paying for time-saving efficiency is hard to grasp, a reality reflected in the absence of a word for "efficiency" in many Indian languages.

Another surprising insight for Western entrepreneurs is that in "low trust markets" like India, "focus is a curse." Instead of specializing, the lack of robust institutional trust leads to a "concentration of trust" around a few established entities. This is why "super apps" and conglomerates like Tata, which produce everything from salt to cars, thrive. Brand trust becomes exponentially more critical, as consumers are wary of trying new, unproven offerings. This low-trust environment also fosters a culture of risk aversion, where the social stigma of a failed startup can impact everything from career prospects to arranged marriages. In such an environment, the constant questioning of "when will you become profitable?" that Kunal receives, even from non-investors, highlights a cultural gap in understanding modern internet business models. As he notes, "Envy is hyperlocal" – the doubt often comes from those closest, not distant figures like Elon Musk.

Key Insights:

  • Dharma as a Leadership Principle: Successful Indian CEOs often uphold the original "Dharma" (values/principles) of the company's founders, prioritizing sustenance over personal legacy.
  • DAU-ARPU Disparity: India offers massive user growth (DAUs) but significantly lower average revenue per user (ARPU) due to economic realities and cultural value of time.
  • Trust Concentration: Low-trust markets favor "super apps" and established brands that offer a wide array of services, making "focus" a less effective strategy than in high-trust economies.
  • Risk Aversion's Impact: Societal norms in India mean failure carries a higher social cost, dampening entrepreneurial risk-taking compared to Western markets, and influencing public perception of startup profitability.

Scaling with Conviction: CRED and the Evolution of a Founder

Kunal's journey with Cred, his latest venture valued at over $6 billion, exemplifies many of these insights. Cred’s foundational premise was a radical departure from the "next China" mentality: explicitly targeting the mere "25 million families" in India who possess significant purchasing power and a global outlook. This conviction, though risky, was backed by his previous success with Freecharge, allowing him to raise a substantial Series A without immediate monetization proof. This shift in focus proved critical, demonstrating that understanding who your customer is, rather than just how many users you have, is paramount in India.

The evolution from a "zero to one" startup to a "ten to one hundred" enterprise also brings its own set of challenges, often requiring a founder to transform. Kunal emphasizes that founders are, at their core, "uncertainty absorbers" – for employees, investors, and customers alike. However, the nature of that absorption changes drastically with scale. Early-stage investors tolerate high uncertainty, but sovereign wealth funds on your cap table demand significant stability. This necessitates a continuous evolution of both the founder and the organizational culture, a process he calls "gentrifying the org" to infuse reliable, scalable practices without losing the initial, agile DNA. He points out that "profit pools of a country tell you a lot about what the country values," noting that patriarchal societies often show stronger market caps in financial services than in consumption-driven retail, a pattern clearly visible in India.

Key Learnings:

  • Targeted Market Conviction: Cred's success stemmed from focusing on a specific, high-value demographic rather than chasing broad, low-ARPU user acquisition.
  • Founder as Uncertainty Absorber: The founder's role shifts from absorbing high uncertainty at the seed stage to providing substantial stability for later-stage investors.
  • "Gentrifying the Org": Scaling requires consciously evolving organizational structure and talent to balance agile, "0 to 1" DNA with the reliability needed for "10 to 100" growth.
  • Profit Pools as Cultural Barometer: A nation's most profitable industries offer profound insights into its underlying cultural values and economic priorities.

The Unending Quest: Cultivating Curiosity and Adaptation

At the heart of Kunal Shah's sustained success and philosophical depth is a profound commitment to curiosity. He champions it as the antithesis of expertise, stating, "a curious person is somebody who's constantly demonstrating that they are not proud of their expertise." This willingness to admit ignorance and embrace new problems with excitement is, for him, the bedrock of continuous growth and adaptation. Curiosity, he argues, must stem from a place of security, allowing individuals – even a CEO – to ask "dumb questions" without fear. This mental agility is crucial for navigating unpredictable environments, a lesson starkly illustrated during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Kunal further illuminates the power of adaptation through a fascinating biological analogy, recalling his query to GPT about species that have survived for over 100 million years. The answers – creatures like horseshoe crabs and crocodiles – shared three key traits: the ability to reduce metabolism at will (like a company slowing burn during a crisis), a "very high conversion rate on every attempt to secure food" (high judgment and effective execution), and remarkable adaptability to environmental changes. This last point, he notes, "comes from Curiosity." This ability to "change very quickly" and avoid becoming a "liability" in an ever-evolving world is what makes curiosity not just a virtue, but a vital survival skill for individuals and organizations alike.

Key Practices:

  • Embrace Ignorance: Actively demonstrating curiosity and asking questions, even "dumb" ones, is more valuable than constantly showcasing expertise.
  • Security for Growth: Cultivating a sense of security allows individuals to be openly curious, fostering continuous learning and compounding growth.
  • Adaptive Metabolism: Like long-surviving species, organizations must develop the ability to strategically "reduce metabolism" (manage burn) during periods of uncertainty.
  • High Judgment & Conversion: Focus on high-impact opportunities with a strong "conversion rate," rather than chasing numerous, less effective endeavors.

"Inefficiency is the largest employer of the world." - Kunal Shah